Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.255293 0.273114 0.291981 0.313513 0.337496 0.363487 0.393924
2025-02-23 0.220475 0.246915 0.276927 0.313882 0.358680 0.411921 0.481064
2025-03-02 0.194360 0.224897 0.261364 0.308938 0.370635 0.449863 0.562723
2025-03-09 0.175889 0.208642 0.249321 0.304894 0.381112 0.485778 0.648040
2025-03-16 0.161643 0.195544 0.238992 0.300639 0.389293 0.518442 0.734973
2025-03-23 0.153734 0.189454 0.236627 0.306082 0.410843 0.573141 0.869623
2025-03-30 0.143876 0.179741 0.228170 0.301505 0.416295 0.603145 0.970066
2025-04-06 0.133714 0.168752 0.216864 0.291292 0.411199 0.614235 1.037603
2025-04-13 0.124905 0.158996 0.206477 0.281295 0.404906 0.621731 1.099677
2025-04-20 0.120558 0.155168 0.204267 0.283527 0.418952 0.668237 1.262921
2025-04-27 0.117430 0.152824 0.203977 0.288619 0.438407 0.728810 1.486322
2025-05-04 0.113483 0.149018 0.201157 0.289212 0.449719 0.775205 1.696245
2025-05-11 0.108762 0.143942 0.196251 0.286214 0.454641 0.810714 1.901271
2025-05-18 0.104546 0.139437 0.192006 0.284077 0.461212 0.852352 2.158924
2025-05-25 0.100027 0.134244 0.186350 0.278983 0.461274 0.878955 2.386429
2025-06-01 0.096153 0.129839 0.181682 0.275225 0.463560 0.911876 2.671289
2025-06-08 0.092590 0.125734 0.177241 0.271473 0.465319 0.944016 2.988749
2025-06-15 0.090933 0.124490 0.177378 0.276112 0.485815 1.033515 3.719080
2025-06-22 0.087797 0.120769 0.173169 0.272172 0.486539 1.066188 4.180412
2025-06-29 0.083989 0.115836 0.166679 0.263387 0.475064 1.058893 4.371186
2025-07-06 0.080433 0.111183 0.160472 0.254769 0.463131 1.047957 4.534606
2025-07-13 0.078920 0.109746 0.159678 0.256693 0.476583 1.124043 5.580443
2025-07-20 0.077899 0.109053 0.160116 0.261082 0.496733 1.231230 7.332581